| |
Arizona Likely Voters |
| Without Gingrich: Tossup including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted early or absentee and Gingrich supporters' second choice |
| Mitt Romney |
Rick Santorum |
Ron Paul |
Other |
Undecided |
| Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
| Arizona Likely Voters |
50% |
33% |
13% |
0% |
3% |
| Tea Party Supporters |
41% |
45% |
11% |
1% |
2% |
| Intensity of Tea Party Support |
Strongly support Tea Party |
28% |
59% |
10% |
1% |
1% |
| Support Tea Party |
49% |
37% |
11% |
0% |
3% |
| Does not support Tea Party |
61% |
20% |
15% |
0% |
3% |
| Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
57% |
23% |
18% |
0% |
2% |
| Conservative |
53% |
33% |
10% |
1% |
3% |
| Very conservative |
37% |
47% |
12% |
0% |
4% |
| Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
57% |
23% |
18% |
0% |
2% |
| Conservative-Very conservative |
48% |
38% |
11% |
1% |
3% |
| Past Participation** |
Yes |
50% |
34% |
12% |
1% |
3% |
| No |
50% |
29% |
19% |
0% |
1% |
| Candidate Support |
Strongly support |
56% |
31% |
12% |
1% |
0% |
| Somewhat support |
45% |
41% |
14% |
0% |
0% |
| Might vote differently |
37% |
40% |
23% |
0% |
0% |
| Most Important Quality |
Shares your values |
38% |
40% |
18% |
1% |
3% |
| Is closest to you on the issues |
45% |
35% |
16% |
0% |
3% |
| Can beat President Obama in 2012 |
58% |
30% |
8% |
0% |
3% |
| Has the experience to govern |
59% |
28% |
11% |
0% |
1% |
| Gender |
Men |
46% |
37% |
14% |
1% |
2% |
| Women |
55% |
29% |
12% |
0% |
4% |
| Age |
Under 45 |
52% |
28% |
17% |
0% |
3% |
| 45 or older |
50% |
36% |
11% |
1% |
3% |
| Region |
Maricopa County (Phoenix) |
52% |
29% |
15% |
1% |
3% |
| Pima County (Tucson) |
45% |
39% |
12% |
0% |
5% |
| Rest of State |
47% |
42% |
9% |
1% |
2% |
| Household Income |
Less than $75,000 |
47% |
36% |
13% |
1% |
3% |
| $75,000 or more |
53% |
31% |
14% |
0% |
1% |
| Evangelical Christians |
39% |
48% |
10% |
1% |
2% |
| Tea Party-Conservative-Evangelical |
31% |
58% |
8% |
2% |
1% |
| Mormons are Christians |
Yes |
60% |
26% |
11% |
0% |
2% |
| No-Unsure |
33% |
46% |
16% |
1% |
4% |
| Education |
Not college graduate |
51% |
32% |
13% |
0% |
3% |
| College graduate |
50% |
34% |
13% |
1% |
2% |
| Interview Type |
Landline |
51% |
33% |
12% |
0% |
3% |
| Cell Phone |
45% |
34% |
17% |
1% |
3% |
NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Likely Republican Primary Voters. Interviews conducted February 19th and 20th, 2012, N=767 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
**Past participation refers to previous participation in an Arizona Republican Presidential Primary. |